{"id":1545069,"date":"2024-11-17T08:09:13","date_gmt":"2024-11-17T13:09:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.practicalecommerce.com\/?p=1545069"},"modified":"2024-11-17T12:45:36","modified_gmt":"2024-11-17T17:45:36","slug":"looming-trade-war-is-upending-supply-chains","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.practicalecommerce.com\/looming-trade-war-is-upending-supply-chains","title":{"rendered":"Looming Trade War Is Upending Supply Chains"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The combination of Biden administration tariffs, Trump&#8217;s proposed increases, and changes in China trade relations will impact U.S. private label and direct-to-consumer brands, driving some to reconsider sourcing strategies in 2025.<\/p>\n<p>Private label and DTC products are merchants&#8217; highest-margin items. While relatively few retailers or DTC brands manufacture in-house, the products tend to remove several &#8220;middlemen,&#8221; often more than doubling profits.<\/p>\n<p>A pet food retailer, for example, might clear 25 points (0.25%) on a popular premium dog food brand and 55 points on its own private-label version despite both products being manufactured at the same facility using similar recipes. A dog owner will pay about the same price for the private label brand or, perhaps, even a little less.<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_1545091\" style=\"width: 580px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-1545091\" class=\"wp-image-1545091 size-large\" title=\"Photo of shipping containers at a port overlaid on a global map\" src=\"https:\/\/www.practicalecommerce.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/Shipping-containers-at-port-e1731847534593-570x348.jpg\" alt=\"Photo of shipping containers at a port overlaid on a global map\" width=\"570\" height=\"348\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.practicalecommerce.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/Shipping-containers-at-port-e1731847534593-570x348.jpg 570w, https:\/\/www.practicalecommerce.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/Shipping-containers-at-port-e1731847534593-300x183.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.practicalecommerce.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/Shipping-containers-at-port-e1731847534593-768x468.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.practicalecommerce.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/Shipping-containers-at-port-e1731847534593.jpg 800w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 570px) 100vw, 570px\" \/><p id=\"caption-attachment-1545091\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">U.S.-imposed tariffs and changes in China trade relations could remake supply chains.<\/p><\/div>\n<h3>Private Label Sourcing<\/h3>\n<p>Private-label brands on U.S. retailers&#8217; physical and virtual shelves come from factories worldwide, including China and Mexico.<\/p>\n<p>Brand managers identify gaps in the market and then find a manufacturing partner to build, sew, or make products to fill the void. Amazon does this with more than 100 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.practicalecommerce.com\/mixed-success-for-private-label-brands\">private brands<\/a> representing thousands of products.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.practicalecommerce.com\/how-to-find-a-manufacturer-for-dtc-ecommerce-products\">Selecting a manufacturer<\/a> for these products involves factors such as quality, price, reliability, regulatory compliance, and \u2014 recently \u2014 trade tariffs or policies.<\/p>\n<h3>Trade Situation<\/h3>\n<p>Tariffs were top of mind for a group of private-label brand managers discussing their 2025 plans around a large conference table during a meeting in November 2024.<\/p>\n<p>I had been invited to learn more about their businesses, which include 30 private brands with hundreds of products sold through a network of 800 stores and 30 ecommerce sites. My task was to help with potential promotion and go-to-market plans, but each manager noted the shift away from China.<\/p>\n<p>While the broad topic was &#8220;tariffs,&#8221; the managers zeroed in on three specifics that could impact their private brand relationships in China.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>In May 2024, the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.whitehouse.gov\/briefing-room\/statements-releases\/2024\/05\/14\/fact-sheet-president-biden-takes-action-to-protect-american-workers-and-businesses-from-chinas-unfair-trade-practices\/\">Biden Administration announced<\/a> it would increase Chinese tariffs on some strategic goods. Top tariffs moved from 7.5% to 25% for steel, 25% to 50% for semiconductors (by 2025), and 100% for electric vehicles.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<ul>\n<li>President-elect Donald Trump has proposed a 10%-to-20% overall tariff on imports, a 60% tariff on many Chinese goods, and tariffs ranging from 25% to 100% on Mexican imports.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<ul>\n<li>U.S. Representative John Moolenaar (R-MI) introduced the <a href=\"https:\/\/selectcommitteeontheccp.house.gov\/media\/press-releases\/moolenaar-introduces-legislation-revoke-chinas-permanent-normal-trade\">&#8220;Restoring Trade Fairness Act&#8221;<\/a> on November 14, 2024, which would revoke China&#8217;s permanent normal trade relations status.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>These tariff and policy changes could substantially impact the U.S. retail industry.<\/p>\n<p>The National Retail Federation <a href=\"https:\/\/nrf.com\/media-center\/press-releases\/trump-tariff-proposals-could-cost-americans-78-billion-annual-spending\">estimated<\/a> that increased tariffs would cost American shoppers &#8220;between $46 billion and $78 billion in spending power each year.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Retailers rely heavily on imported products and manufacturing components so that they can offer their customers a variety of products at affordable prices,&#8221; NRF Vice President of Supply Chain and Customs Policy Jonathan Gold said. &#8220;A tariff is a tax paid by the U.S. importer, not a foreign country or the exporter. This tax ultimately comes out of consumers&#8217; pockets through higher prices.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>But Jan Kniffen, the CEO of J. Rogers Kniffen WWE, a retail investment consultancy, disagrees. He <a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=W8IT21RRvDk\">told CNBC<\/a> he was &#8220;less concerned about the tariffs than it seems a lot of other people.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Kniffen noted that when President Trump introduced tariffs in 2018, Chinese manufacturers desperate for access to U.S. markets absorbed them.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Last time we put on tariffs, nothing really happened. We didn&#8217;t see a big rise in inflation. We didn&#8217;t see a cratering of retail profits,&#8221; Kniffen continued.<\/p>\n<p>According to Kniffen, the Chinese economy is far worse now than it was six years ago, perhaps meaning that Chinese factories would lower prices again to absorb new tariffs.<\/p>\n<h3>Sourcing Behavior<\/h3>\n<p>Regardless, the private brand managers sitting around the table planned to leave China not just because of tariffs but also due to unpredictable relations, supply chain stability, and better margins.<\/p>\n<p>Depending on the product, those managers suggested manufacturing in other Asian nations, partnerships in Europe and South America, or, better still, working with U.S. suppliers.<\/p>\n<p>The group has even purchased its first U.S. manufacturing operation, controlling its own fate while improving profits.<\/p>\n<p>This strategic pivot may reflect a broader trend toward supply chain diversification and a domestic manufacturing renaissance, potentially reshaping the future of private label and DTC brands in the U.S. market. Moving manufacturing <a href=\"https:\/\/www.practicalecommerce.com\/rethink-your-amazon-business-after-covid-19\">closer to consumers<\/a> will likely be a top priority in the coming years.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>U.S.-imposed tariffs and changes in China trade relations force brand managers to rethink sourcing.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":391,"featured_media":1545090,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":"","_wp_rev_ctl_limit":""},"categories":[58306],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1545069","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-cross-border",""],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v25.2 (Yoast SEO v25.2) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Looming Trade War Is Upending Supply Chains - Practical Ecommerce<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"U.S.-imposed tariffs and changes in China trade relations force brand managers to rethink sourcing.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.practicalecommerce.com\/looming-trade-war-is-upending-supply-chains\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Looming Trade War Is Upending Supply Chains\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"U.S.-imposed tariffs and changes in China trade relations force brand managers to rethink sourcing.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.practicalecommerce.com\/looming-trade-war-is-upending-supply-chains\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Practical Ecommerce\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/practicalecommerce\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2024-11-17T13:09:13+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2024-11-17T17:45:36+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.practicalecommerce.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/Looming-Trade-War-Is-Upending-Supply-Chains.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"360\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"240\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Armando Roggio\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@ecommerceboy\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@practicalecomm\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Armando Roggio\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"4 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"NewsArticle\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.practicalecommerce.com\/looming-trade-war-is-upending-supply-chains#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.practicalecommerce.com\/looming-trade-war-is-upending-supply-chains\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Armando Roggio\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.practicalecommerce.com\/#\/schema\/person\/357c476238d0b5e19bd0a0bfacefe722\"},\"headline\":\"Looming Trade War Is Upending Supply Chains\",\"datePublished\":\"2024-11-17T13:09:13+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2024-11-17T17:45:36+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.practicalecommerce.com\/looming-trade-war-is-upending-supply-chains\"},\"wordCount\":725,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.practicalecommerce.com\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.practicalecommerce.com\/looming-trade-war-is-upending-supply-chains#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.practicalecommerce.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/Looming-Trade-War-Is-Upending-Supply-Chains.jpg\",\"articleSection\":[\"Cross-border Selling\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"copyrightYear\":\"2024\",\"copyrightHolder\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.practicalecommerce.com\/#organization\"}},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.practicalecommerce.com\/looming-trade-war-is-upending-supply-chains\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.practicalecommerce.com\/looming-trade-war-is-upending-supply-chains\",\"name\":\"Looming Trade War Is Upending Supply Chains - 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